[Rockhounds] OT: Does anyone know a rockhound named Kreigh around
Oakdale...
Pmodreski at aol.com
Pmodreski at aol.com
Sun Mar 8 20:37:10 PDT 2009
That's great, Carol! ... Oops, I see that Carol just sent this to me, but
even if it is all still off-topic (well, sort of), I don't think you will mind
if I share this with the whole list, I hope. ...
So, as you report below, if there really are just 436 Kreighs in the U.S.
(that's 435 additional ones, besides the one we already know), and if my
estimate of 100,000 rockhounds is still good, so that 1/3000 of the U.S.
population is a rockhound, then there are an estimated 436/3000 = 0.145 Kreighs who
are rockhounds in the U.S. That, I'm afraid, is less than one whole Kreigh, so
not only should we stop looking for any more of them, but I fear, we have
proved that you probably do not really exist, Kreigh, and if you do, you are
just an anomaly. But, we already knew that!
Pete
In a message dated 3/8/2009 9:04:48 P.M. Mountain Daylight Time,
bova at mindspring.com writes:
Hi Pete,
I was curious about how many Kreighs there are too, and tripped over this
site and info:
One in every 702,203 Americans are named as KREIGH and popularity of name
KREIGH is 1.42 people per million.
If we compare the popularity statistics of KREIGH to USA's population
statistics, we can estimate that as of March.06.2009 there are 436 people named as
KREIGH in the United States and the number of KREIGH's are increasing by 4
people every year.
<_http://www.pokemyname.com/firstname_16845_kreigh.htm_
(http://www.pokemyname.com/firstname_16845_kreigh.htm) >
So it looks like you might have overestimated the number of Kreighs. *s*
And from a quick look on Facebook, quite a few are in their 20's or younger!
Carol
On Mar 8, 2009, at 10:23 PM, _pmodreski at aol.com_ (mailto:pmodreski at aol.com)
wrote:
Hi folks,
Allow me to try to apply some scientific analysis to the question of "How
many rockhounds are there likely to be, with Kreigh's first name?".
A website that is very interesting/amusing to browse is "Baby Name Wizard",
which depicts nicely programmed graphs showing the frequency of girl's and
boy's names in the U.S., broken down into every decade since the 1880s.
__http://www.babynamewizard.com/voyager__
(http://www.babynamewizard.com/voyager_)
(_http://www.babynamewizard.com/voyager_
(http://www.babynamewizard.com/voyager) )
So my first step was to see if Kreigh's name appears on their list, which
gives the 1000 most common names. It does not; but even from this we can
estimate an upper limit to the frequency of "Kreighs" in the U.S. Some of
the
boys' names that rank near the bottom of the most frequent 1000 list, are
shown
to occur with an average frequency of approximately 50 names per 1 million
people in the U.S. So, let's assume that an upper limit for the number of
"Kreighs" in the U.S. would be 50 per 1 million, or, for a U.S. population
of 300
million, 300 x 50 = less than 15,000 Kreighs. (It could, of course, be
MUCH
less, if Kreigh were a really really rare and unusal name.)
Next we want to know how many rockhounds there are in the U.S. Trying to
do
some web searching for this number, I really could not find it. I'm sure
such an estimated number is know--for example, one could look at the total
membership of the AFMS affiliated clubs, and I'm sure that number has been
mentioned in print now and then in AFMS newsletters or elsewhere, but if it
appears
anywhere on their website, it is well buried and not findable by simple
searching. However, I did find one website that notes "there are over 900
rockhound clubs in the U.S.". So let's say for round numbers, there are
1000
clubs, with 100 members each. The 100 may be an overestimate, but that
will allow
for all the rockhounds (likely perhaps, an equal number or more) who don't
belong to a club. So let's say for good round numbers, that there are 1000
x
100 = 100,000 rockhounds in the U.S.
So, if there are an estimated not more than 15,000 Kreighs in the U.S., and
the probability of a U.S. resident being a rockhound is 100,000 /
300,000,000
= 1/3000, then there should be an estimated 15,000/3000 = 5 Kreighs in this
country who are rockhounds.
There you go, Kreigh, so, there are 5 of you, and since one of them is
already you, there are just 4 more (or less, of course). Shouldn't be that
tough
a job to find them! No worse than 4 needles in a haystack?
cheers,
Pete
(P.S., but really, we all know that there is only ONE Kreigh... and surely
of course, only one Kreigh Tomaszewski (I didn't look it up... wonder how
close I got to spelling that right?). (Ah, now I checked below--I got it
right!)
In a message dated 3/6/2009 7:25:19 P.M. Mountain Daylight Time,
_Kreigh at tomaszewski.net_ (mailto:Kreigh at tomaszewski.net) writes:
I got an unusual inquiry today via my website...
I had a friend, mentor, named Richard XXXXXXX.
He had a friend named Kreigh, who was a rockhound. This Kreigh gave
him a oval geode with fluid inside that was millions of years old.
I was wondering if you are that friend.
Richard, lived in Oakdale, CA. as I did. I believe the year was 1996
or 97.
The spelling of your name is unique, as I hadn't heard of that
spelling until I met Richard's friend for only a few minutes.
Please let me know if you are or aren't Richard's friend.
It wasn't me. I've never lived in California. But it got me wondering.
My name is somewhat unusual. AFMS says there are about 55,000
rockhounds in the United States that are members of clubs. The
membership of this List approaches 1% of US rockhounds. Would it be
possible to track down the rockhound who shares my unusual name?
If you belong to a club in California, would you please check your club
roster and see if there is a Kreigh? Personal contact details should
probably be shared off-list if you find the other Kreigh.
Thanks!
Kreigh
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